Treasury states the composite rate formula as fixed rate, plus two times the semiannual inflation rate, plus the fixed rate multiplied by the semiannual inflation rate. The doubling is what annualizes a six-month figure, and the final term is a small cross-product that a page describing the rate as "the fixed rate plus inflation" will miss. The difference is a couple of hundredths of a percentage point rather than anything dramatic, but it means an arithmetic check against Treasury's published number will not reconcile.
The two halves behave differently over time, and the distinction is the main planning fact on this page. Treasury announces the fixed rate every May 1 and November 1, and says that rate "then applies, for the life of the bond, to all I bonds that we issue during the next 6 months." So the fixed rate is a permanent property of the bond determined by when it was bought, which is why two bonds bought six months apart can behave differently for decades. The inflation component, by contrast, is reset for every outstanding bond twice a year, and it is based on the non-seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, all items, including food and energy. That is the headline index rather than a core measure that strips out food and energy, which contradicts any description of I bonds as tracking core inflation.
The timing point is the one nearly every summary gets wrong. Treasury announces rates in May and November, but in its own words, "although we announce the new rates in May and November, the date when the rate changes for your bond is every 6 months from the issue date of your bond." A bond issued in September changes rate on March 1 and September 1, and carries whatever composite rate was in force at issue until the following March. So a holder planning a redemption around a rate change has to work from their own issue month, not from the announcement calendar, and ten of the twelve purchase months put the change somewhere other than May or November.
What the fixed rate guarantees is narrower than it looks. Treasury says deflation "can bring the combined rate down below the fixed rate (as long as the fixed rate itself is not zero)," and that if a negative inflation rate would push the combined rate below zero, "we stop at zero." So a fixed rate is not a floor on the earnings rate. What is genuinely guaranteed is that the bond's redemption value never falls, because a zero composite rate means the bond simply stops earning rather than losing value.
Series I bonds are frequently compared to Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, and the difference is structural. TIPS adjust their principal with the index and are marketable, so they can be sold on any business day and their market price can fall before maturity. An I bond adjusts its rate rather than its principal, is not marketable, and cannot lose nominal value. One trades price risk for liquidity; the other trades liquidity for the absence of price risk.