Estimate the recurring itemized deductions that arrive whether you plan or not, chiefly capped state and local taxes and mortgage interest. Compare that to the standard deduction for your filing status: the gap is how much discretionary giving a bunch year has to carry before itemizing wins at all. Then subtract what the plan gives up, because a year with no gift is also a year with no non-itemizer charitable deduction.
A hypothetical, with a round stand-in standard deduction of $20,000 so the arithmetic stays checkable as the real figure moves. A married couple has $8,000 of recurring itemized deductions, a contribution base of $150,000, and gives $12,000 a year in cash to public charities. The 0.5% charitable floor on that base is $750.
Giving evenly, their itemized total would be 8,000 plus 12,000 less the $750 floor, or $19,250, which is under the standard deduction. So they take the standard deduction and add the non-itemizer charitable deduction of $2,000 on top of it: $22,000 a year, or $44,000 across two years.
Now they bunch. In year one they give $24,000, two years' worth. Their charitable deduction is 24,000 less the $750 floor, so their itemized total is 8,000 plus 23,250, or $31,250, and they itemize. In year two they give nothing, take the $20,000 standard deduction, and get no non-itemizer deduction because there was no gift. Two years now come to $51,250 rather than $44,000, a $7,250 improvement on identical total giving.
Change one input and the answer reverses. At $7,000 of annual giving instead of $12,000, the bunch year would still clear the standard deduction, but only by $1,250, while the two years of forfeited non-itemizer deduction are worth $4,000. Giving evenly would win by $2,750. That crossover is the whole calculation, and it is specific to the household.