The employee-count tests are two different tests, and the wrong one gives the wrong answer. For someone entitled to Medicare because of age, the working-aged rule applies only where the plan "is a plan of, or contributed to by, an employer that has 20 or more employees for each working day in each of 20 or more calendar weeks in the current calendar year or the preceding calendar year." Meet that test and the group plan pays first. Fall below it and Medicare pays first, which is the outcome most people working at a small employer do not expect. For someone entitled to Medicare because of disability, the rule reaches only a large group health plan, which the Internal Revenue Code defines as a plan covering employees of at least one employer that "normally employed at least 100 employees on a typical business day during the previous calendar year." Both tests look through corporate structure: employers treated as a single employer under the controlled-group rules count as one, affiliated service groups count as one, and leased employees count for the business they work for. A self-employed person counts as an employer for this purpose.
"Current employment status" is the hinge, and it is defined narrowly. The statute says an individual has current employment status if the individual "is an employee, is the employer, or is associated with the employer in a business relationship." A retiree on an employer's retiree plan satisfies none of those, and neither does someone continuing coverage under COBRA. That is why CMS's own table puts Medicare first against both retiree coverage and COBRA at 65, and first against COBRA for a disabled beneficiary. The exception is end-stage renal disease, where COBRA coverage is primary for the coordination period like any other group coverage. The practical consequence reaches beyond claims: the coverage that lets someone delay Part B without penalty is coverage by virtue of current employment, so the two rules use the same concept and get confused together.
End-stage renal disease runs on a 30-month clock. A group health plan may not take renal-disease-based Medicare entitlement into account during the coordination period that begins with the first month of entitlement, or the first month entitlement would have begun had an application been filed, whichever is earlier. The statute was written with a 12-month period, and its text still carries that number alongside the amendments that replaced it, with 18 months applying from 1991 and 30 months from 5 August 1997. Thirty months is the operative figure, and the plan is primary for that whole period regardless of employer size, which is the point most easily lost. When the period ends, Medicare becomes primary.
Outside group coverage, the primary payers are the accident-and-injury ones. Where a workers' compensation plan, an automobile or liability policy, or no-fault insurance is responsible, Medicare may not pay to the extent payment has been made or can reasonably be expected to be made. Because those cases can take years to resolve, the statute lets Medicare make a conditional payment, which is exactly what the name implies: the money is advanced on the condition that it is repaid. A primary plan, and an entity that receives payment from one, must reimburse the Trust Fund once responsibility is demonstrated, and responsibility can be demonstrated "by a judgment, a payment conditioned upon the recipient's compromise, waiver, or release (whether or not there is a determination or admission of liability)," or by other means. If reimbursement is not made within 60 days of the notice, interest may be charged. The United States may sue any responsible entity, may collect double damages, and is subrogated to the individual's own right to payment from the primary plan. One protection runs the other way: an individual who is furnished an item or service for which Medicare benefits were incorrectly paid is not liable to repay them unless the payment was made to the individual.